BC Tory

Because Everyone Is Entitled To My Opinion

Sunday, November 06, 2005

Should Be No Surprise, but.....

I am officially annoucning my full endorsement of all three South Island Conservative candidates- Gary Lunn (Saanich-Gulf Islands), Robin Baird (Victoria), and Troy DeSouza (Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca) in the upcoming federal election. I have looked voer the websites and platforms of all three candidates, and I must say I am overly impressed by the credentials and beliefs of all three of them.

First off, the lone incumbent of the three, current MP and Public Works Critic Gary Lunn. Lunn has served his riding since being elected as a Reform candidate in 1997. As Public Works Critic, he may have the easiest job in hammering away at the Liberals over scandal day in, day out; however, he has done a good job at what he does. He has also been the lone Conservative voice for the South Island in Parliament for this session. His job has been to hold the Liberals accountable, which has to be done. As far as candidates go, he is the best one for his riding. His biggest contender is Liberal Sheila Orr; however, Lunn has credentials of being a strong MP and Critic who is revered by his constituents. Orr, on the other hand, wasn't an integral part of the BC Liberal government, and was turfed in an NDP landslide on election day. The fact is unless Lunn did something really bad to his constituents, he can't lose. This riding belongs to him for as long as he wants it. I am impressed by his performance and Parliament and general eloquence.

Now, the man I will be casting my ballot for on election day, Victoria's Conservative candidate Robin Baird. First off, I have to say that the credentials of this man absolutely impress me. He was educated at Queen's, LSE and Universite of Tours. He is a BC Crown prosecutor, a man with a degree in international law, and one of few BC politicians who is fluent in French. What he also stands for impresses me; he believes in fiscal responsibility, stronger military, more government accountability to name a few. He clearly outlines why he is running and what he stands for, and informs people to contact him if they want to know more about his platform. Having run a rather weak candidate here last time, I must say the Victoria Conservative EDA outdid themselves this time. And yes, I am aware that the Conservative chances are not great here, but never say never. I lived in Toronto Centre for a long time, so anyhting seems winnable in comparison. Baird winning is a possibility if the left-wing vote is split enough, and enough Liberals can be persuaded to go Conservative rather than NDP. In fact, they led the polls the week before the election.

The third candidate is Troy DeSouza. A moderate, rational man, DeSouza is a far cry from the rabid dog the Conservatives nominated in EJDF last time. Being in the military, he calls for increased spending in the Canadian Forces, a good call considering the fact that CFB Esquimalt is in this riding. Furthermore, the incumbent, Keith Martin is an opportunist who jumped to the Liberals for a cabinet post (if this is not true, then explain how his views, apart from social views, are more right-wing than the rest of the Liberal caucus), and only 3000 votes separated all three candidates. That can be made up, especially since it is feasible for DeSouza to win back all the voters who went Liberal because of distaste for the tempermental Conservative candidate. The NDP will play a factor, but could siphon enough votes from the Liberals to create a split in which DeSouza could come up the middle and win.

So those are my main reasons for backing these three candidates, as well as how I think they will fare next election. I wish Lunn, Baird and DeSouza the best of luck in the next federal election, and hopefully a solid slate of candidates can help turn South Island completely blue.

5 Comments:

  • At November 06, 2005 4:38 PM, Blogger Steffany said…

    This post has been removed by a blog administrator.

     
  • At November 06, 2005 8:43 PM, Blogger Jarrett said…

    You should've been at the party's AGM today.

     
  • At November 07, 2005 12:16 AM, Blogger TheDevilIsInTheDetails said…

    This post has been removed by a blog administrator.

     
  • At November 16, 2005 5:42 PM, Blogger Miles Lunn said…

    I'll admit I don't no anything about the candidates from Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca and Victoria, but considering that most of those from the West involved in the Conservatives hailed from the Old Reform/Alliance party I would be a lot less comfortable voting Conservative for a Western candidate than Eastern one.

    Saanich-Gulf Islands: The Liberals got 34% in 1997, which is why the Tories got in 2004. Likewise the Green Party got 16% and if that vote falls, it is most likely to go to the Liberals rather than NDP as both parties are fiscally conservative, but socially liberal. Besides if Sheila Orr was comfortable with Gordon Campbell's right of centre policies, but not Stephen Harper that probably tells you something about just how far right Stephen Harper is. I personally support the BC Liberals, but half of British Columbians think they are too right wing and even more think that about the Conservatives including a large chunk of those who vote Liberal provincially

    Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca: This has never been a conservative area. The Reform/Alliance victories in 1993, 1997, and 2000 was no different than many other traditional NDP ridings where the protest vote switched from the NDP to the Reform Party and has since switched back. If Keith Martin loses his seat, it will be to the NDP. Besides if you want a parallel private system, you are best to have someone on the inside who will promote the idea that someone from the outside.

    Victoria - Like Toronto Centre it use to go Tory back when Robert Stanfield, Joe Clark, and Brian Mulroney, all Red Tories or Moderates were in charge. Since Harper and his gang of Neo-Cons have swallowed up the Progressive Conservatives, urban Canada has flatly rejected them and will continue to reject them no matter how moderate the candidates are they put up. The Conservatives couldn't even win the polls in the wealthy area of Oak Bay. Victoria will be a race between the NDP and Liberals like last time.

     
  • At November 17, 2005 12:00 PM, Blogger BC Tory said…

    Miles-

    Well it is likely true that most Western Conservatives hailed from the old Alliance Party, some did not. If I'm not mistaken, I do believe Baird and DeSouza were both PCs originially, though I might be mistaken, in which case someone can feel free to correct me.

    Saanich-Gulf Islands: With what you say about the Liberal-Green split, there is some accuracy there; however, it is because of this the Conservatives will win, as the Greens will not lose any votes, seeing as they have one of their strongest presences in this riding.

    The BC Liberals are, in fact, a Liberal-Conservative coalition, thus, there is a mixture of Liberals and Conservatives. While Gordon Campbell is right of centre, I am sure most Liberals (federal) would take him over the looney-tunes NDP policy any day. This has nothing to do with Harper, but, however, with the fact that the Liberals and Conservatives have a provincial coalition party in the BC Liberals (and in Vancouver, with the municipal NPA).

    As with Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca and Victoria, I know our chances are not great; however, I still feel that the Conservative candidates in those ridings are the most capable ones. EJDF is not out of reach, only 3000 votes separated the Liberals, NDP and Conservatives in 2004. We can win it, though the NDP has a bettr chance than us. As for Victoria, I do believe that is more of a lost cause, but I still will endorse Baird as I believe he is the best choice. For example, I endorse the Conservative candidate in Vancouver Centre; I know he won't win, but he is far better than Hedy "Burning Crosses" Fry or Svend "bipolar ring thief" Robinson (see previous blog on Svend).

     

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